MANIFOLD
Will USA change Iran regime
34
Ṁ1.3kṀ4.4k
Mar 24
45%
chance
4

  • Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if:

    • The USA takes direct control of Iran, OR

    • Iran obeys the USA to change its regime, OR

    • A regime change is completed under US influence/pressure

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If the USA takes control of Iran directly or not as in they obey to change or compete regime change the market will be resolved to yes

@ConsCoz please include clear resolution criteria

Yes

Would a partial regime change, similar to that of Venezuela count?

Does it have to happen before March 24th (the closing time of this market)?

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