MANIFOLD
Which companies will stand with Anthropic (Yes) vs DoD (No)?
9
Ṁ1.1kṀ1k
Apr 30
44%
Google
43%
Nvidia
42%
Amazon
41%
Microsoft

If the company in question cancels DoD contracts in order to keep doing business with Anthropic, in response to a supply chain risk designation, resolves Yes, and vice versa. If a company keeps doing business with both, or cuts ties with both, resolves 50%. As of question close date.

Contracts cancelled should be > 50% of dollar value of total contracts; they must be announced as cancellations, with some sort of accelerated wind-down, not merely a decision not to renew or not to enter new contracts.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Is it really nVidia? I thought it was Nvidia or NVIDIA

My own analysis, not a statement about resolution, is that these probably resolve 50% if /ScottAlexander/will-anthropic-escape-the-supply-ch resolves Yes.

I'm currently expecting this to be awkward to resolve. Suggestions to improve clarity are most welcome. I won't bet in this market.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy