MANIFOLD
Will I get it together?
33
Ṁ100Ṁ2.5k
May 16
67%
chance

I will probably be away from the site for a while. If/when I come back, will I have gotten my life together (by May 16)?

  • Update 2026-02-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the creator does not return to the site, moderators can resolve NO if the creator doesn't come back within a month after the market closes.

  • Update 2026-02-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to pop up sporadically on the site even if not very active, so the fallback resolution mechanism (mods resolving NO if creator doesn't return within a month after close) is unlikely to be needed.

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Just wanted to say I wish you luck and I hope you return to Manifold when you're ready.

Is this an all or nothing thing?

bought Ṁ10 YES

Let’s hope :)

What if not coming back, is a sign you've gotten your life together?

@100Anonymous What's confusing?

He said for mods to resolve NO if he doesn't come back. I'm saying, why not YES? If he gets his life together, why would he come back?

@ChurlishGambit im convinced you hate manifold but also can't stop using it

@Cactus What's to like? They're burning my investment

@ChurlishGambit did you invest real money into manifold

@Cactus Yes, a few years back I was convinced by a "friend" that prediction markets were a hot & underrated sector. He bundled quite a lot of money from me into another bundle that then went into a capital raise for this place, which has managed to make a casino that loses money

I still intend to pop up sporadically, even if I’m not really active, so I don’t think it will be relevant anyways

How does this resolve if you don't return?

Even if I'm technically betting against your success, I do wish you luck.

@xjp Thanks. Moderators can resolve no if I don't come back within a month after it closes.

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