Will the UK have Proportional Representation of the House of Commons by 2030?
34
Ṁ1kṀ2.9k2030
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will the UK introduce rationing due to food shortages by 2030?
17% chance
Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?
20% chance
Will Britain still use FPTP voting (and no other voting mechanisms) for picking MPs in 2040?
48% chance
Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto?
67% chance
Will there a major change in the election of MPs before 2030? What is the result of the 2024 election?
Will there be a UK General Election held using an alternative voting system before 2030?
15% chance
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
18% chance
Will the UK use alternative voting before 2050?
38% chance
Will the UK rejoin the EU by 2035?
17% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?
72% chance
Sort by:
https://takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/the-stars-are-aligning-for-pr-to-happen
What’s more notable is how these unusual circumstances have quietly aligned the incentives of all five major parties so that today, in theory at least, they would all stand to benefit from electoral reform, and a shift to proportional representation (PR).
So I know this sounds mad, but I can’t help but wonder if this means we’re at the closest point we’ve ever been to a change in the electoral system.
@JonathanNankivell I'm not sure I agree regarding the incentives of Reform and the Greens. Interesting though
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the UK introduce rationing due to food shortages by 2030?
17% chance
Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?
20% chance
Will Britain still use FPTP voting (and no other voting mechanisms) for picking MPs in 2040?
48% chance
Will Reform drop their commitment to Proportional Representation in their next manifesto?
67% chance
Will there a major change in the election of MPs before 2030? What is the result of the 2024 election?
Will there be a UK General Election held using an alternative voting system before 2030?
15% chance
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
18% chance
Will the UK use alternative voting before 2050?
38% chance
Will the UK rejoin the EU by 2035?
17% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?
72% chance